When asked if the present situation would augur well with the cotton farmer as his realisation is not on expected lines, the ICF President said, â€œthere is a global surplus. There are no takers for Indian cotton as the fibre from India is not standardised.â€ Due to tight financial situation prevailing in the spinning sector and comfortable availability of quality cotton, the prices are expected to remain steady. â€œThe monsoon would be a major deciding factor for cotton prices for the period between June and October 2018.â€
The yarn market, though steady, is learnt to be slow while the industry is expecting a steady cotton market, Thulasidharan said that, â€œMills are not carrying huge stock of yarn as the payments are delayed in the aftermath of GST. Textile scenario till the yarn sector looks steady, but there is threat of imports from Bangladesh and Pakistan. He also added that this could play spoilsport if the government does not intervene and insist on the â€œCertificate of Originâ€ in the interest of the domestic sector.
After reviewing the crop situation for the 2017-18 cotton year, the Indian Cotton Federation (ICF) believes that the situation is â€œmore stable than expected.â€ â€œCotton farmers were expecting better prices earlier. The arrivals were late, so we thought that the crop was less. But with arrivals at 90,000 bales a day at market yards, we expect the market to be stable,â€ said J Thulasidharan, President, ICF. Prices did shoot up by â‚¹1,000, reacting to the New York market moves, but it has now started to show a downward trend. He added that, â€œThose that had invested in cotton are expecting â‚¹45,000 per bale (of 170 kg each). When it rains, the market tends to move up, as there is a weight gain of 3-4 per cent. But during the month of May, sellers are generally reluctant to sell. Incidentally, after many years, the stock with the trade has peaked.â€
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